Growth is one of the most important drivers of asset returns. An accurate and timely read of unfolding conditions is critical to investment success. The Augur Labs Timely Underlying Growth Nowcast is an alternative, big-data-driven measure of economic activities; it uncovers the true underlying strength of the economy in a timely fashion.

Global Growth Nowcast as of 12/8/2023
Underlying Growth 1m Change 3m Change 1m History
World 2.8% 0.2% 0.1% 2.672, 2.703, 2.728, 2.686, 2.611, 2.614, 2.554, 2.556, 2.616, 2.64, 2.637, 2.618, 2.618, 2.617, 2.66, 2.719, 2.728, 2.75, 2.705, 2.696, 2.822
Developed World 0.7% 0.4% -0.1% 0.322, 0.328, 0.361, 0.347, 0.177, 0.185, 0.136, 0.131, 0.221, 0.27, 0.261, 0.278, 0.249, 0.173, 0.506, 0.447, 0.45, 0.469, 0.462, 0.465, 0.734
United States 1.7% 0.8% -0.3% 0.806, 0.799, 0.797, 0.865, 0.532, 0.548, 0.449, 0.44, 0.662, 0.663, 0.666, 0.669, 0.591, 0.544, 1.157, 0.967, 0.99, 0.99, 1.058, 1.062, 1.67
DW ex US 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% -0.035, -0.02, 0.039, -0.036, -0.084, -0.083, -0.095, -0.097, -0.104, -0.02, -0.038, -0.011, -0.004, -0.101, 0.026, 0.063, 0.052, 0.084, 0.021, 0.026, 0.043
Euro Area 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.003, 0.033, 0.061, -0.002, 0.042, 0.051, 0.032, 0.045, 0.06, 0.201, 0.219, 0.262, 0.277, 0.206, 0.261, 0.25, 0.253, 0.317, 0.252, 0.246, 0.243
Core -0.2% 0.3% 0.7% -0.526, -0.5, -0.462, -0.452, -0.389, -0.379, -0.35, -0.34, -0.319, -0.109, -0.083, -0.024, 0.005, -0.166, -0.099, -0.073, -0.104, -0.084, -0.18, -0.211, -0.212
Germany -1.2% 0.0% 0.8% -1.115, -1.072, -1.01, -0.992, -0.975, -0.957, -0.892, -0.873, -0.855, -0.658, -0.639, -0.553, -0.524, -0.989, -0.851, -0.809, -0.893, -0.857, -1.117, -1.163, -1.156
France 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.26, 0.263, 0.264, 0.265, 0.266, 0.267, 0.277, 0.278, 0.279, 0.608, 0.619, 0.651, 0.691, 0.704, 0.666, 0.679, 0.693, 0.695, 0.746, 0.718, 0.724
Netherlands 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% -0.568, -0.543, -0.486, -0.478, 0.017, 0.026, 0.022, 0.03, 0.088, 0.098, 0.108, 0.137, 0.147, 0.322, 0.409, 0.417, 0.44, 0.448, 0.498, 0.503, 0.437
Belgium 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% -0.153, -0.134, -0.127, -0.121, -0.114, -0.108, -0.2, -0.197, -0.113, -0.094, 0.089, 0.132, 0.146, 0.629, 0.675, 0.68, 0.716, 0.729, 0.852, 0.863, 0.874
Periphery 1.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.903, 0.938, 0.95, 0.763, 0.775, 0.781, 0.681, 0.699, 0.704, 0.729, 0.734, 0.749, 0.74, 0.838, 0.872, 0.8, 0.861, 1.001, 0.988, 1.022, 1.015
Italy 0.2% 0.3% 1.4% -0.055, 0.016, 0.04, -0.366, -0.342, -0.318, -0.484, -0.472, -0.46, -0.447, -0.435, -0.399, -0.387, 0.14, 0.116, -0.177, -0.145, 0.077, 0.169, 0.243, 0.231
Spain 2.1% 0.0% 0.5% 2.157, 2.161, 2.162, 2.163, 2.165, 2.149, 2.118, 2.156, 2.155, 2.213, 2.213, 2.211, 2.21, 1.828, 1.815, 1.928, 2.062, 2.101, 2.112, 2.109, 2.107
Ireland 0.9% 0.3% -1.0% 0.632, 0.653, 0.66, 0.66, 0.668, 0.675, 0.532, 0.531, 0.53, 0.529, 0.528, 0.525, 0.351, 0.35, 0.349, 0.669, 0.677, 0.985, 0.919, 0.931, 0.919
Portugal 1.0% 0.1% -1.5% 0.893, 0.885, 0.883, 0.88, 0.878, 0.875, 0.873, 0.87, 0.868, 0.866, 0.864, 0.857, 0.855, 0.877, 0.89, 0.888, 0.903, 0.902, 0.965, 0.964, 0.962
Greece 1.1% -0.6% -1.9% 1.669, 1.666, 1.665, 1.664, 1.663, 1.662, 1.636, 1.633, 1.631, 1.629, 1.627, 1.62, 1.618, 1.297, 2.167, 2.158, 2.15, 2.148, 1.104, 1.105, 1.121
Japan -0.5% -0.7% -0.8% 0.191, 0.172, 0.166, -0.104, -0.517, -0.526, -0.339, -0.338, -0.336, -0.335, -0.398, -0.4, -0.401, -0.694, -0.228, -0.024, -0.02, -0.04, -0.482, -0.48, -0.453
United Kingdom -0.6% 0.6% 0.1% -1.236, -1.248, -0.863, -0.867, -0.872, -0.919, -0.933, -0.937, -1.106, -0.957, -0.752, -0.686, -0.68, -0.674, -0.668, -0.634, -0.622, -0.609, -0.618, -0.617, -0.616
Canada 0.1% 0.2% -1.5% -0.258, -0.21, -0.104, -0.001, 0.138, 0.153, -0.393, -0.408, -0.353, -0.434, -1.056, -1.091, -1.102, -1.114, -1.006, -1.163, -1.144, -1.138, -0.08, -0.076, 0.118
Australia 1.1% -0.9% -0.7% 1.98, 1.976, 1.879, 1.871, 1.806, 1.798, 1.816, 1.81, 1.805, 1.799, 1.793, 1.775, 1.75, 1.748, 1.733, 1.735, 1.405, 1.413, 1.026, 1.12, 1.123
Switzerland -0.2% 0.1% 0.9% -0.332, -0.328, -0.32, -0.318, -0.317, -0.181, -0.146, -0.458, -0.456, -0.454, -0.452, -0.447, -0.446, -0.398, -0.274, -0.236, -0.219, -0.213, -0.289, -0.193, -0.186
Sweden -0.5% 0.8% 0.8% -1.049, -0.998, -0.981, -0.964, -0.947, -0.923, -1.092, -1.086, -1.08, -1.074, -1.068, -1.05, -1.044, -1.331, -1.331, -0.981, -0.952, -0.951, -0.56, -0.539, -0.464
Norway 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.585, 0.605, 0.611, 0.891, 0.899, 0.906, 0.936, 0.944, 0.952, 0.736, 0.744, 0.772, 0.78, 0.788, 0.796, 0.911, 0.848, 0.827, 0.748, 0.728, 0.708
New Zealand 1.5% 0.2% 1.2% 0.869, 0.902, 0.912, 0.854, 0.865, 0.876, 0.875, 0.771, 0.78, 0.79, 0.891, 0.918, 0.928, 0.937, 1.126, 1.186, 1.21, 1.218, 1.538, 1.546, 1.503
Emerging Markets 4.6% 0.0% 0.3% 4.623, 4.676, 4.695, 4.629, 4.633, 4.632, 4.562, 4.57, 4.605, 4.609, 4.61, 4.562, 4.587, 4.647, 4.449, 4.606, 4.62, 4.645, 4.568, 4.548, 4.557
China 5.0% -0.2% 0.0% 5.208, 5.35, 5.364, 5.114, 5.13, 5.178, 4.972, 4.977, 4.982, 4.987, 5.002, 5.007, 5.012, 5.017, 4.558, 4.987, 5.0, 5.102, 5.022, 5.021, 5.036
EM ex China 4.2% 0.1% 0.5% 4.245, 4.241, 4.262, 4.315, 4.311, 4.279, 4.298, 4.307, 4.362, 4.364, 4.357, 4.275, 4.312, 4.408, 4.378, 4.36, 4.374, 4.35, 4.274, 4.242, 4.247
EM Asia ex China 5.3% 0.1% 0.5% 5.171, 5.172, 5.172, 5.215, 5.208, 5.27, 5.347, 5.369, 5.356, 5.362, 5.379, 5.384, 5.36, 5.359, 5.339, 5.325, 5.332, 5.334, 5.33, 5.306, 5.301
India 7.1% 0.0% 0.2% 7.017, 7.047, 7.057, 6.981, 6.989, 6.996, 6.709, 6.701, 6.693, 6.685, 6.677, 6.653, 6.645, 6.637, 6.752, 6.859, 6.853, 6.851, 7.146, 7.127, 7.108
South Korea 2.5% -0.8% 1.1% 3.307, 3.304, 3.302, 3.413, 3.411, 3.409, 3.405, 3.403, 3.401, 3.399, 3.397, 3.39, 3.269, 3.345, 2.779, 2.592, 2.584, 2.571, 2.496, 2.482, 2.467
Indonesia 4.0% 0.6% -0.6% 3.427, 3.369, 3.35, 3.741, 3.723, 3.705, 4.177, 4.185, 4.194, 4.202, 4.21, 4.235, 4.244, 4.252, 4.218, 4.231, 4.238, 4.24, 4.125, 4.075, 4.044
Taiwan 3.4% -0.7% 0.4% 4.087, 4.019, 3.997, 3.974, 3.952, 3.929, 4.76, 4.731, 4.635, 5.059, 5.013, 5.078, 5.04, 5.001, 4.963, 5.014, 5.004, 5.001, 3.21, 3.227, 3.405
Thailand 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 2.526, 2.55, 2.558, 2.566, 2.574, 2.582, 2.606, 3.08, 3.087, 2.783, 2.795, 3.228, 3.233, 3.239, 3.387, 2.618, 2.651, 2.663, 2.674, 2.761, 2.771
Malaysia 5.0% 2.2% 2.7% 2.746, 2.776, 2.786, 2.796, 2.806, 3.437, 5.583, 5.497, 5.41, 5.324, 5.225, 4.964, 4.877, 4.79, 4.703, 4.735, 4.83, 4.862, 4.894, 4.926, 4.958
Philippines 5.6% -0.4% 0.5% 6.04, 6.011, 6.002, 5.992, 5.982, 5.973, 5.944, 5.935, 5.925, 5.916, 5.839, 5.819, 5.812, 5.806, 5.799, 5.866, 5.852, 5.847, 5.843, 5.605, 5.601
Singapore 7.2% 1.9% 3.4% 5.338, 5.303, 5.292, 5.281, 5.269, 6.438, 6.117, 6.094, 6.072, 6.356, 7.4, 7.268, 7.224, 7.18, 7.136, 7.129, 7.283, 6.972, 7.321, 7.277, 7.232
Hong Kong 2.6% -1.3% 2.5% 3.747, 3.785, 3.797, 3.835, 3.599, 3.612, 3.256, 3.249, 3.243, 3.237, 3.23, 3.097, 3.091, 3.086, 2.925, 2.921, 2.912, 3.406, 2.655, 2.626, 2.598
Latin America 1.7% -0.7% -0.6% 2.321, 2.348, 2.358, 2.367, 2.376, 2.031, 1.753, 1.75, 1.895, 1.886, 1.909, 1.446, 1.713, 1.713, 1.728, 1.699, 1.771, 1.77, 1.753, 1.685, 1.663
Brazil 1.6% 0.1% -1.0% 1.475, 1.495, 1.502, 1.508, 1.515, 1.396, 1.138, 1.13, 1.122, 1.113, 1.15, 1.131, 1.688, 1.683, 1.679, 1.54, 1.537, 1.682, 1.662, 1.587, 1.584
Mexico 2.8% -1.1% -1.1% 3.842, 4.018, 4.076, 4.135, 4.193, 4.252, 3.105, 3.098, 3.016, 3.009, 3.016, 1.784, 1.78, 1.776, 1.812, 1.912, 2.11, 2.107, 2.68, 2.715, 2.75
Argentina -0.8% -2.1% 1.8% 1.165, 0.844, 0.738, 0.631, 0.524, -1.56, 0.291, 0.318, 1.519, 1.502, 1.526, 1.598, 1.621, 1.645, 1.669, 1.666, 1.656, 1.197, -0.301, -0.604, -0.83
EM Europe 4.1% 0.6% 1.3% 3.928, 3.882, 3.961, 4.078, 4.068, 4.058, 4.172, 4.16, 4.305, 4.309, 4.219, 4.224, 4.225, 4.628, 4.537, 4.517, 4.5, 4.427, 4.048, 4.026, 4.078
Russia 4.4% 0.5% 0.2% 4.737, 4.566, 4.509, 4.702, 4.642, 4.582, 5.046, 5.019, 4.991, 4.964, 4.936, 4.854, 4.827, 5.646, 5.618, 5.762, 5.691, 5.533, 4.41, 4.323, 4.384
Turkey 4.9% 0.7% 3.4% 4.367, 4.502, 4.716, 4.785, 4.853, 4.921, 4.442, 4.476, 5.074, 5.133, 4.923, 5.077, 5.128, 5.044, 4.742, 4.066, 4.112, 4.127, 4.782, 4.858, 4.935
Poland 3.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.493, 2.504, 2.741, 2.749, 2.757, 2.765, 2.763, 2.708, 2.714, 2.72, 2.685, 2.703, 2.709, 2.805, 2.893, 3.376, 3.408, 3.419, 3.415, 3.43, 3.445
Czech Republic 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.008, 0.024, 0.03, 0.035, 0.041, 0.046, 0.215, 0.228, 0.242, 0.255, 0.392, 0.447, 0.466, 0.484, 0.289, 0.312, 0.343, 0.354, 0.605, 0.598, 0.614
Hungary 1.2% 0.2% 0.9% 1.043, 1.084, 1.53, 1.543, 1.556, 1.569, 1.536, 1.546, 1.555, 1.565, 0.947, 0.962, 0.967, 0.918, 0.921, 1.255, 1.27, 1.274, 1.255, 1.258, 1.205
South Africa 1.6% 0.7% -0.5% 0.886, 0.909, 0.916, 0.942, 0.95, 0.957, 0.985, 0.993, 1.001, 1.009, 1.016, 1.04, 1.047, 1.055, 1.045, 1.061, 1.072, 0.763, 1.669, 1.63, 1.62